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ELSEVIER - MANUSCRIPT

ELSEVIER - MANUSCRIPT

Jan 15, 2016

MILESECURE-2050 MANUSCRIPT

Working Title: Low-carbon Energy Security from a European Perspective

 

Publisher: ELSEVIER

Status: forthcoming

Tentative publication date: Janauary 2016

Authors/Reviewers:

Patrizia Lombardi (POLITO); Max Grünig (ECOLOGIC); Andreas Prahl (ECOLOGIC); Katherine Weingartner (ECOLOGIC); Giancarlo Cotella (POLITO); Silvia Crivello (POLITO); Marat Karatayev (POLITO); Govert Valkenburg (MUSTS); Sergio Giaccaria (JRC); Tilemahos.EFTHIMIADIS (JRC); Bruna Felici (ENEA); Bruno Baldissara (ENEA); Oscar Amerighi (ENEA); Francesco Gracceva (ENEA); Christophe Cassen (SMASH); Céline Guivarch (SMASH); Giovanni Caiati (LSC); Gabriele Quinti (LSC)

Unpacking the governance of energy transition; a conceptual framework

Unpacking the governance of energy transition; a conceptual framework

Jul 15, 2015
Abstract presented at AESOP 2015 by Govert Valkenburg and Giancarlo Cotella.
ABSTRACT
There is a deep relationship between energy transition and the governance of contemporary societies. However, while existing governance literature has gone a long way to accommodate complex and heterogeneous problems, it has so far fallen short of entirely dealing with the human, social and cultural challenges that this topic incurs. In particular, the deep relationship between energy transition and political dynamics at large has important connections to social, cultural and personal
issues that remain underattended in theories of energy transition governance. As a matter of fact, in more or less direct ways, any event moving in the direction of energy transition requires sophisticated levels of coordination among the many actors involved in governance, and mobilizing a wide range of interests that are likely to produce conflicts, tension and resistance. Building on the interim results of the MILESECURE-2050 FP7 project, the authors reflects upon constitutive elements of energy
transition regimes, i.e. more or less stable clusters of individual and collective actors, institutional or not, that can develop plans of action, activate social norms and standards and mobilize resources to encourage, manage, anticipate or direct the dynamics associated with energy transition.
Energy Security Scenarios of Future Europe. Assessing the impacts of societal processes

Energy Security Scenarios of Future Europe. Assessing the impacts of societal processes

Jul 14, 2015
Presented at AESOP 2015  by Christophe Cassen, Meriem Hamdi-Chérif, Giancarlo Cotella, Jacopo Toniolo, Patrizia
Lombardi, Jean-Charles Hourcade
Société de mathématiques appliquées et sciences humaines (SMASH)- Centre International de Recherche sur l’environnement et le Développement (CIRED-CNRS)
Dipartimento Interateneo di Scienze, Progetto e Politiche del Territorio (DIST). Politecnico di Torino. Viale Mattioli, 39, 10125, Torino, Italy.

Abstract
Energy security has become a policy priority for the European Union due to growing concerns about environmental challenges and the fact that the EU imports about half of its energy needs. In particular, the EU is dealing with climate policy and energy security jointly: both the Climate and Energy Package and the Energy Roadmap 2050 endorse the goals of reducing greenhouse gases emissions while at the same time ensuring security of energy supply. However, low-carbon transition and energy
security are not always faces of the same coin. As a matter of fact, successful policies aiming at the former may undermine the conditions at the basis of the latter, and vice versa. Developed in the framework of the MILESECURE-2050 project, the proposed contribution focuses on this conundrum, exploring the impact of societal processes and various governance regimes and policy mixes aiming at energy transition towards a low carbon economy, in view to provide a better understanding of aspects and potential trade-offs for energy security in Europe. The IMACLIM-R model provides some innovative features to embark dimensions (such as urban form, environmental policies, human behaviours) that enables a broader pluridisciplinary dialog among a large socio-scientist community as required in the MILESECURE-2050 project. From the study of local experiences, the report introduces three scenarios that include different assumptions on the energy transition and the implementation of climate policies. Preliminary results are provided through the lens of energy security challenges. Finally, the policy implications of the presented scenarios are sketched out and discussed.
Geopolitics and energy security: strategies and policies in the European Union

Geopolitics and energy security: strategies and policies in the European Union

Sep 17, 2014
AISRE – Italian Association of Regional Sciences (Associazione Italiana di Scienze Regionali). Abstract’s title: “Geopolitics and energy security: strategies and policies in the European UnionAuthors: G. Cotella, S. Crivello, P. Lombardi, F. Borio (POLITO). Paper showcased on the occasion of the AISRE - XXXV Conference, Padova, 11-13 September 2014
Toward a low carbon and energy secure society. Where is the EU going

Toward a low carbon and energy secure society. Where is the EU going

Jul 15, 2014
Call for papers + Paper: AESOP - Congress of the Association of European Schools of Planning. Paper’s title: “Toward a low carbon and energy secure society. Where is the EU going?”. Authors: G. Cotella, S. Crivello and P. Lombardi (POLITO). Status: accepted. It will be presented at the AESOP Congress in the framework of Track nr. 9 "Energy, Food and Urban Metabolism”. (Utrecht, 9-12 July 2014).
Would climate policy improve the European energy security?

Would climate policy improve the European energy security?

Jun 29, 2014
Paper’s title:Would climate policy improve the European energy security?” Authors: Guivarch C., Monjon, S., Vogt-Schilb, A. (SMASH). Submitted to Energy Policy Journal.

The fifth WCERE - World Congress on Environment and Resource Economics (Istanbul, 28 June – 2 July 2014) is a main forum for environment and resource economists around the world. The findings of a study conducted with the IMACLIM model on the energy security issues in Europe partly supported by the MILESECURE-2050 project were presented in a poster session dedicated to Climate issues and included in the below paper.
Energy security improvement is often presented as a possible co-benefit of climate policies. This paper evaluates this claim. It presents a methodology to investigate whether climate policy would improve energy security, while accounting for the difficulties entailed by the many-faceted nature of the energy security concept and the large uncertainties on the determinants of future changes in energy systems. To do so, it uses a set of indicators in a four-dimension analysis grid of the energy security concept, and a database of scenarios exploring the uncertainty space. The results, focusing on Europe, reveal there is no unequivocal effect of climate policy on all the dimensions of energy security and that some trade-offs are involved. The many-faceted nature of energy security matters: energy security has several dimensions, some of which can be heightened by climate policy. Time matters: the effect of climate policy on energy security depends on the time horizon considered. Last, these results are robust to key uncertainties on the future potential and costs of technologies, on future improvements in energy efficiency, on fossil fuel resources and markets and on drivers of economic growth. However, some of these uncertainties determine the magnitude of the effect of climate policy on energy security indicators.