Public deliverables

Project deliverables

Deliverable 1.4 - Report on the macroregional geopolitics of energy security

Deliverable 1.4 - Report on the macroregional geopolitics of energy security

May 13, 2014

This deliverable is about the geopolitics of energy security. It originates from the results and the analysis of trends defined in the previous Deliverable 1.3. It is articulated in four main parts.

The first section is about problems concerning energy in a global scenario: it proposes an evaluation of geopolitical tensions between different areas in the world. New energy corridors, physical infrastructures and an exploration of potential regional and macro-regional conflicts (e.g. Caspian question, access to African oil, Middle East conflicts, etc) are analysed. The information, perspectives and key nodes for EU energy security are combined and represented through qualitative mapping and visual representations. This task will be performed by working on a geographical synthetic image of key areas for EU energy security, strategic spatial development zones, key corridors and functional-energetic macro-regions from the perspective of the EU.

The second part analyses renewable energy (and related) mega-projects and their influence on energy security and fostering new geopolitical relationships. Two studies of renewable energy mega-projects visions are presented (DESERTEC and the North Sea Offshore Grid) and mini-case studies are conducted on pilot projects under development and associated with the visions (Ouarzazate CSP and Kriegers Flak).

The third part is about the realisation of reduction targets assigned by 20/20/20 package and the National Renewable Energy Action Plans; it offers, also, a general review concerning national environmental and energy policies in Europe and their impacts and effects on social and economic everyday life.

The forth part conceptualises the links between energy security and low-carbon policies and it introduces a methodological framework to assess their interactions. This section outlines the modelling tools used for the assessment and it elaborates on the input assumptions guiding the scenario analysis.

Deliverable 6.2 - Construction of an informative website

Deliverable 6.2 - Construction of an informative website

Oct 24, 2013
The official web-site of the MILESECURE-2050 project is available at: www.milesecure2050.eu. It will be continuously updated by POLITO who is in charge of this task.
The web-site aims at supporting the effective communication and dissemination of the project’ results seeking to identify the modes through which energy security is defined at the European, national and local scales, focusing on energy transition towards a low carbon society. More specifically, this multidisciplinary collaborative project aims at informing, debating, and exploiting the model and the policy recommendations within scientific community, public administrations, collecting suggestions from the scientific community, policy-makers and from other relevant stakeholders and civil society.

Deliverable 1.2 - Report on global and macroregional ket trends and scenarios

Deliverable 1.2 - Report on global and macroregional ket trends and scenarios

Oct 1, 2013

This deliverable 1.2 is part of WP1 from the MILESECURE-2050 project dedicated to analyze energy security policies, trends and existing scenarios from the national to the worldwide level. This deliverable conducted in the framework of task 1.2 presents a critical review of prominent long term modeling exercises using integrated modeling assessment conducted since the fourth IPCC Assessment Report published in 2007. Their findings confirm the main messages put forward in the fourth IPCC report: (i) the confidence that a coherent deployment of technologies will ensure a meaningful shift in the energy system given carbon constraint and the depletion of fossil fuel, (ii) and the moderate cost of the transition at the global or macro-regional levels. This report however underlines one main flaw of these modeling exercises: the lack of interest for the linkage with other issues in particular security issues. This is the result of a climate centric drift of international negotiations which has to some extent impacted most modeling exercises. Moreover, although models are more complex and integrate various issues, the complexity of social dynamics and transition patterns (inertias and irreversibilities of technical choices, pre-existing domestic policies….) towards a low carbon society are not fully addressed by Integrated Assessment models. Considering that the energy transition is multi-objective and occur in a world full of imperfections (inertias of infrastructures, imperfect foresights…) these mechanisms are crucial to better understanding the synergies and the trade-offs between climate change and energy security issues. Finally, following recommendations from D1.1 deliverable, the report provides new perspectives to assess the interdependencies between climate policies and energy security issues, thanks to an innovative modeling framework. Its first results at the global and European level require therefore further methodological improvements which will be under the umbrella of the MILESECURE-2050 project.

Deliverable 1.1 - Report on key methodological approaches in multidimensional analysis

Deliverable 1.1 - Report on key methodological approaches in multidimensional analysis

Jul 14, 2013
The first MILESECURE-2050 deliverable “Report on key methodological approaches in multidimensional analysis” is part of the Workpackage 1 on “Analysis of energy security policies, trends and existing scenarios from the national to the worldwide level” which focuses on a analysis of energy security, transition policies and discourses, trends, scenarios and geopolitical impacts from the national to the worldwide level. It also explores existing knowledge (earlier projects, reports and publications) in a strict relation with the more advanced international scientific debate upon the issues of low carbon societies and energy security. The report on key methodological approaches in multidimensional analysis provides a comprehensive conceptual review of the various related concepts safety, security, resilience, risk, vulnerability and a solid common grounding in terms of methodology
and conceptual framework for the above tasks. It starts with the need of a systemic approach (§ 2), the link between energy savings and energy security (§ 3) and the separation between economic and behavioural aspects of the energy analysis (§ 4). In light of this framework, the last two parts provide a description on the evolution of policies since the origins of the European
Union (§ 5) and the review of on-going international debates (§ 6), thus linking the systemic perspective on energy security to the different phases of policy-making and scientific debate. Finally, some main conclusions are highlighted in § 7.